Ituano vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
GOI
3 - 1
ITU
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 0
GOI
22%
26%
53%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
ITU
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
ITU
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 0
PRI
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 2
ATI
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BAR
5 - 2
PRI
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
ATI
2 - 2
PRI
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |