Ituano vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
INT
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
INT
3 - 5
ITU
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
ITU
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
ITU
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 0
LIN
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 3
BRA
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
XVD
2 - 1
PAU
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
SAO
12%
20%
69%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 0
PAU
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |