Ituano vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 3
ITU
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 1
PAL
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PAU
2 - 3
ITU
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
BOT
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PAU
2 - 3
ITU
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 0
PAU
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAU
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
0 - 2
SAO
11%
21%
68%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |