Ituano vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
64.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 2
ITU
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 0
RBB
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
SAO
12%
22%
67%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 1
ITU
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAO
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAO
78%
16%
7%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 3
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
PAL
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 0
PAL
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |