Ituano vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
ITU
3 - 0
LIN
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ITU
1 - 1
SAO
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
11%
19%
71%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ITU
1 - 0
JUV
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
FER
3 - 1
ITU
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
OES
2 - 2
TAU
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
OES
0 - 3
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
2 - 3
OES
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
OES
2 - 0
SAO
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
VOT
0 - 2
OES
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |