Ituano vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
LIN
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITU
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
LIN
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 2
ITU
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
OES
0 - 0
PAL
17%
23%
61%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
OES
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
OES
3 - 1
PPE
21%
25%
55%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
OES
0 - 0
PAY
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
OES
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |