Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-1
Ituano vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
ITU
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ITU
4 - 2
CAB
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
ITU
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 1
REM
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
INT
2 - 4
MOT
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOT
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 2
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |