Ituano vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
ITU
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MIR
1 - 1
ITU
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
ITU
68%
18%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 0
SAN
10%
21%
68%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
MOG
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
MOG
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MOG
0 - 0
GRÊ
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
MOG
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MOG
0 - 1
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |