Ituano vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
ITU
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 2
ECS
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
ITU
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 0
CRI
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 1
ITU
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
FFL
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
BOT
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
YPI
1 - 0
MIR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
OES
48%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
MIR
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |