Ituano vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
USC
2 - 2
ITU
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ITU
1 - 4
MIR
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
ITU
1 - 1
UBE
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
UBE
2 - 1
ITU
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
MIR
0 - 0
ITU
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MIR
0 - 3
UBE
59%
23%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ITU
1 - 4
MIR
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
USC
2 - 0
MIR
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
MIR
1 - 4
USC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
MIR
0 - 0
ITU
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |