Ituano vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MET
0 - 1
ITU
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
PST
2 - 1
ITU
21%
25%
53%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ITU
2 - 1
ECS
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ITU
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MET
0 - 1
ITU
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ECS
4 - 0
MET
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
PST
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 3
MET
71%
20%
10%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 2
CRI
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |