Ituano vs Linense CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ITU
1 - 1
SAO
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
11%
19%
71%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ITU
1 - 0
JUV
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
FER
3 - 1
ITU
37%
26%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ITU
3 - 2
GRE
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 0
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
3 - 0
LIN
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LIN
1 - 1
RIO
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
PRI
2 - 1
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
XVD
2 - 0
LIN
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |