Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Ituano vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 1
VIT
65%
21%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
ITU
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
ITU
21%
28%
51%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 1
CAL
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
URT
1 - 0
ITU
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
FLU
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 1
ITA
53%
26%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 1
ASA
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 0
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
APA
0 - 2
ITA
65%
22%
13%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |