Ituano vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 0
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MIR
3 - 0
ITU
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 3
OES
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 3
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
PPE
1 - 2
ITU
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PPE
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |