Ituano vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITU
22%
27%
52%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
ITU
21%
27%
53%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 1
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -3 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITU
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAC
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITU
22%
27%
52%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
BLU
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |