Ituano vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 2
ITU
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PPE
1 - 1
ITU
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 0
MIR
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
RBB
2 - 1
ITU
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ITU
5 - 1
SAN
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
GUA
67%
22%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 0
GUA
14%
21%
64%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |