Ituano vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITU
78%
15%
6%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ITU
3 - 2
LIN
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITU
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
ITU
4 - 2
MAD
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 2
ITU
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
AGU
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
4 - 2
DUQ
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |