Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-3
Ituano vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
ITU
45%
26%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
ITU
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 2
PAL
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
ITU
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 0
ATP
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
GOI
3 - 0
IAC
80%
15%
6%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 0
GOI
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
IAC
1 - 0
GOI
11%
19%
69%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
73%
19%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |