Ituano vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MIR
0 - 1
ITU
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
RBB
33%
26%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FER
3 - 1
ITU
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
ITU
5 - 1
LIN
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RBB
4 - 1
FER
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
SAO
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FER
3 - 1
ITU
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |