Ituano vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
4 - 0
ITU
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 0
OES
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
LIN
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITU
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
COR
19%
27%
54%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RBB
0 - 3
FER
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
RIO
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
MOG
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
FER
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |