Ituano vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 3
ITU
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 0
JUV
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 2
ITU
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 1
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
ITU
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
FER
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
ITU
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |