Ituano vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
3 - 1
ITU
22%
28%
51%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MET
0 - 2
ITU
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ITU
4 - 0
GRE
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 3
ITU
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
MOG
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAX
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
3 - 1
ITU
22%
28%
51%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 1
PEL
44%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
CAX
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 1
URS
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |