Ituano vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
ITU
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITU
22%
27%
52%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
ITU
21%
27%
53%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
CAB
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
ITU
21%
27%
53%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAB
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 2
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |