Ituano vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ITU
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ITU
0 - 1
COR
15%
26%
60%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITU
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ITU
3 - 0
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
34%
24%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 3
BRA
36%
24%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PPE
5 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
PAL
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |