Ituano vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
YPI
0 - 0
ITU
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
OES
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
FFL
1 - 2
ITU
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
MIR
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
ITU
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
FFL
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 0
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 4
NOV
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
OES
0 - 0
BOT
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
YPI
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |