Ituano vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ITU
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
ITU
3 - 0
ATI
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
TAB
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
ITU
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 2
MIR
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUD
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
JUV
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
ATI
0 - 1
AUD
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AUD
4 - 1
TAB
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 2
TAU
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |