Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
14º
11º
25
3º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 61 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 52 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 48 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 25 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ittihad Tanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAS
0 - 1
IRT
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
IRT
0 - 0
SCC
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
RKZ
0 - 1
IRT
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
IRT
1 - 2
RCA
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
IRT
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RCA
0 - 1
RSB
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
RCA
2 - 1
FAR
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
RCA
4 - 3
MOU
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MOU
0 - 3
RCA
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RCA
1 - 0
WYD
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |