Ittihad Tanger vs FUS Rabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
29.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
14º
11º
32
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 61 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 52 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 48 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 25 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0.5% | 7.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ittihad Tanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
IRT
1 - 0
HAS
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
IRT
1 - 1
DIF
37%
27%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MEK
1 - 0
IRT
47%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
IRT
1 - 1
SCC
53%
27%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
UTS
3 - 1
IRT
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FUS Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
FUR
1 - 0
SIO
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
SCC
0 - 2
FUR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 0
UTS
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
FUR
5 - 1
MEK
42%
30%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
HAS
0 - 1
FUR
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |