Ittihad Assaba vs Nouadhibou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ittihad Assaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 3
ITT
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ITT
2 - 4
GUE
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SNI
1 - 0
ITT
43%
25%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ITT
0 - 2
CON
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GDN
1 - 2
ITT
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nouadhibou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GDN
2 - 3
NOU
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
NOU
0 - 0
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
SNI
1 - 1
NOU
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
NOU
3 - 3
GUE
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 0
NOU
82%
14%
5%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | -2 |