Itapirense vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
INT
1 - 1
ITA
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
FLA
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 2
ITA
22%
23%
56%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 2
TAB
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
ITA
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
TAB
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
PFC
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
INT
2 - 3
VEL
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
TAU
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 1
VEL
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |