Itapirense vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
SVA
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SJS
0 - 1
ITA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
SAO
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
INT
2 - 1
ITA
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 3
SJS
47%
24%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 3
IND
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SEP
2 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |