Itapirense vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SJS
1 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
3 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 3
MIR
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BAT
2 - 0
ITA
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
VOT
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
TUP
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TUP
3 - 1
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
TUP
2 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SJS
1 - 1
TUP
63%
20%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |