Itapirense vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 3
CAP
27%
26%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 1
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
SAO
42%
27%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VOT
1 - 1
ITA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
USA
3 - 1
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
GRE
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
SER
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 0
SER
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SER
3 - 1
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |