Itapirense vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 1
ITA
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
UNI
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
SVA
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SEP
3 - 3
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |