Itapirense vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAN
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAT
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
2 - 3
ITA
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
ITA
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 3
UNI
29%
25%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
SAO
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
19%
23%
57%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
4 - 1
MAT
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |