Itapirense vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 0
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 3
TAU
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
FLA
10%
18%
72%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
5 - 0
OSV
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
OSV
2 - 4
CAP
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 1
BAT
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
OSV
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 3
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |