Itapirense vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 2
IND
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ITA
5 - 2
SEP
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
ITA
79%
13%
8%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 4
SAO
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
NOV
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
UNI
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |