Itapirense vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITA
54%
26%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
PRI
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ATI
5 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
FER
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
NOR
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
FLA
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |