Itapirense vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 0
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 2
ITA
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
BEB
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAT
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 0
MAR
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 0
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |