Itapirense vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
ITA
53%
26%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 3
SJS
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
INT
15%
23%
62%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
FER
4 - 2
GRÊ
52%
23%
26%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 5
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
10 - 0
GRÊ
79%
15%
7%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
4 - 0
GRÊ
72%
19%
10%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |