Itapirense vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 1
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 0
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 0
ITA
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 2
VEL
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
INT
1 - 1
ITA
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PPE
1 - 1
GRÊ
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 4
BRA
44%
25%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
ITU
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 3
INT
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 2
GRÊ
23%
22%
55%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |