Itapirense vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 0
ITA
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 2
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 2
ITA
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
ITA
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
ATI
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
FER
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |