Itapirense vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 4
OSV
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 0
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 3
TAU
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 3
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
BAT
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
ECN
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
ECN
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |