Itapipoca vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
FOR
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ICA
2 - 1
ITA
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 0
ITA
80%
15%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ICA
1 - 2
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
ICA
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ICA
2 - 1
ITA
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ICA
0 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |