Itapipoca vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
CEA
8%
18%
74%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 3
FOR
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 2
QUI
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ICA
4 - 3
HOR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 0
SAO
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |