Itapipoca vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
55%
24%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
TIR
24%
25%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 3
ITA
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
QUI
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
HOR
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 1
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 2
TIR
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 0
HOR
39%
24%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |