Itapipoca vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
ITA
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
7 - 0
ITA
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
7 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOT
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
INT
2 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |