Itapipoca vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
HOR
4 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FER
4 - 0
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
CEA
10%
18%
72%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
11%
19%
71%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
UNI
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
5 - 2
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TIR
3 - 3
GUA
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |