Itapipoca vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
QUI
38%
25%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 4
ITA
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
TIR
0 - 3
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
5 - 2
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
FER
5 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
FOR
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |