Itapipoca vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
ITA
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
TRA
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
ITA
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 1
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
HOR
30%
23%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |